Italy vs Japan Preview: Nations Championship 2026 Round One
Nations Championship Italy vs Japan
A brand-new chapter in international rugby begins this weekend as the inaugural Nations Championship gets underway. One of the opening fixtures sees Italy travel to Tokyo to take on Japan.
The match will be played at Prince Chichibu Memorial Stadium on Saturday, 4 July 2026, with kick-off scheduled for 17:40 local time (10:40 SAST).
While most South African rugby supporters will understandably have one eye firmly fixed on the Springboks’ blockbuster clash with England at Ellis Park, this encounter could still have a major impact later in the tournament. Japan compete alongside the Rugby Championship nations in the southern conference, meaning every point they pick up could influence the standings that the Boks will be chasing.
So, if you’re planning on settling in for a full day of rugby, this one is well worth adding to the viewing list. Consider it the appetiser before the main braai.
Why South Africa Should Care
The new Nations Championship finally brings together rugby’s biggest heavyweights in one unified competition.
For South Africa, every result in the southern conference matters. While Japan aren’t expected to challenge the Springboks for the title, Eddie Jones’ side are more than capable of causing an upset that could shake up the standings.
Italy, meanwhile, continue to improve under Gonzalo Quesada and will be hoping to prove they belong among rugby’s rising nations after several encouraging performances over the past two seasons.
South African supporters will also remember Italy from recent Springbok encounters, with the Boks continuing to enjoy the upper hand whenever the two sides have met.
Recent Form
Italy have steadily developed into one of Europe’s most dangerous improving teams.
Their set-piece has become increasingly reliable, while their attacking game has flourished thanks to a talented young backline. Although consistency remains an issue against the very best nations. The Azzurri are no longer the side opponents can simply expect to beat.
Japan arrive looking to continue their own rebuild under Eddie Jones.
The Brave Blossoms have remained highly competitive against Tier One opposition, often pushing established rugby nations all the way before falling just short. Their trademark high-tempo style and willingness to attack from anywhere on the field continue to make them one of international rugby’s most entertaining teams.
Playing at home in Tokyo should give Japan an added boost, especially in front of what promises to be a passionate crowd.
Players to Watch
Italy possess genuine match-winners across the park.
Paolo Garbisi remains the key decision-maker at fly-half, controlling territory and creating opportunities for those around him. Out wide, Ange Capuozzo is capable of turning half-chances into spectacular tries with his electric footwork and pace, while captain Michele Lamaro continues to lead from the front at the breakdown.
Japan’s biggest strength remains their speed.
Under Eddie Jones, expect the Brave Blossoms to move the ball quickly, challenge Italy around the fringes and look to exploit any defensive lapses. Their success will depend on matching Italy physically while maintaining the fast tempo that has become synonymous with Japanese rugby.
Match Prediction
This has all the ingredients to be one of the most entertaining matches of the opening weekend.
Japan will enjoy home support and possess the attacking flair to trouble almost any defence. If they can play the match at their pace, they’ll fancy their chances of pulling off a surprise.
However, Italy arrive with greater forward power, improved squad depth and a more settled game plan. Their scrum and lineout should provide the platform needed to control possession. While Garbisi’s game management could prove decisive in the closing stages.
For South African rugby fans, this is also a chance to get an early read on one of the teams sharing the Springboks’ side of the competition.
Prediction: Italy to win by 8 points.
Don’t expect a walkover, though. Japan rarely make life easy at home, and if there’s one thing we’ve learnt in international rugby. It’s that underestimating the Brave Blossoms is a quick way to end up with egg on your face.
Best Betting Sites for Rugby Betting
+ 100 free spins
✓ Live betting
✓ Extensive coverage
✓ Fast payouts
+ R15 free bet & 15 free spins
✓ Big sport variety
✓ Great odds
✓ Good betting options
Italy vs Japan Rugby nations 2026 FAQ’s
The Most Common Questions Answered
Responsible Gambling: Betting involves financial risk. Gambling can be addictive. Only bet what you can afford to lose. winners know when to stop. This content is for users 18+. The National Responsible Gambling Programme helpline: 0800 006 008 or WhatsApp “Help” to 076 675 0710. All platforms listed are licensed by the relevant South African provincial gambling boards.
NOBULL BETTING
South Africa’s honest betting site reviews. We test, verify, and rate, so you don’t have to. Independent, updated monthly, zero paid placements. By using this website, you agree to our Terms of Use and Privacy Policy. NoBull Betting provides independent betting information and editorial content for general information purposes only and does not offer financial or legal advice. We do not guarantee results or outcomes. You must be 18+ to use this site and to bet online.
© 2026 NoBull Betting · Affiliate disclosure: We earn commission when you click through and register. This does not affect our rankings. · 18+ only · Gamble responsibly.
Sibusiso loves all things sport and has been writing and living the game for the last ten years. Sibo can be found at his local when Liverpool or Pirates plays a match. He brings deep insights into upcoming football or rugby matches.